Tuesday, December 7, 2010

Proposed merger between Borders Books and Barnes and Noble

Borders Books takeover bid for Barnes and Noble

Yesterday the book industry was met with the astounding news that the number two bookseller, Borders, was bidding for ownership of industry leader, Barnes and Noble. On the news B&N shares shot up nearly 20 percent as investors weighed in on the proposal.


Why would the two largest book chains merge?

First, sales of physical books sold in conventional stores have been falling. This is because online sellers like Amazon.com have been grabbing huge chunks of book sales and major retailers, such as Walmart and Target, have been selling large numbers of bestselling book titles at discounted prices. Add to this the growing number of electronic (e-book) book sales To put it mildly, this has caused a perfect storm for traditional brick n' mortar booksellers who have always prided themselves as the place to go to find books. Now, more and more, the least profitable part of their business is book sales with more profits coming from their in-store coffeehouse along with ancillary sales coming from gift items and greeting cards.

If this deal goes through it will be reminiscent of the merger of K-Mart and Sears over six years ago as orchestrated by real estate investor Edward Lambert.

Depending on whether you were a customer or investor, the results of that merger could be telling when it comes to the proposed Borders - Barnes and Noble deal. In the Sears - K-Mart merger, operations were consolidated in the Sears headquarters in suburban Chicago and the corporate offices of K-Mart in Michigan were shuttered. They then changed the name to Sears Holdings to reflect the ownership of its real estate. To Ed Lambert the Sears - K-Mart deal was all about leveraging their properties by closing underperforming stores then selling the property. This drove the stock price up and satisfied most investors.

On the other hand, the surviving physical stores operating under the Sears and K-Mart names continued to languish right up until today with their stores continuing to lose any competitive advantages. Other than hard goods lines like Craftsman and Kenmore, there are few reasons to shop one of their stores.

If a Borders - Barnes and Noble merger result in similar results, over time there will be fewer bookstores filled with fewer book titles. Some have imagined their bookstore of the future consisting of a cafe, gifts, periodicals and a small number of books. Rather than look through stacks of books customers will instead be ushered to download stations where they would be able to purchase e-books while sipping on a cup of coffee.

Stores would be half the size of today with fewer employees.

However that would be a short term situation as other big box chains such as Walmart and Target add their own download stations.

That could force the Borders - Barnes and Noble stores to downsize once more resulting in a Panera Bread style cafe with gifts and book downloads.

Whatever happens, for some time it has been speculated that the end of the conventional bookstore was on the horizon. All of which has been hastened by the technology that has led to eBooks and eBook readers.

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